News

Oil dips as investors weigh deal on Iran war as uncertainty persists on Hormuz

Oil prices inched lower on Wednesday, extending the previous session’s ​declines as investors assessed the US-Iran peace deal, though uncertainty over the full resumption of shipping through ‌the Strait of Hormuz limited further falls.

Brent crude futures dipped 16 cents, or 0.2%, to $78.80 a barrel by 0340 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate fell 25 cents, or 0.3%, to $75.80 a barrel.

Both benchmarks fell about 5% for a second straight session on Tuesday to stand at ​three-month lows, on hopes that a US-Iran deal would allow oil flows through the Strait.

“Markets are broadly stripping out ​the embedded geopolitical risk premium in oil prices,” said Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at ⁠Phillip Nova.

“That said, the path toward normalisation remains far from straightforward. While political agreements may be progressing, physical tanker traffic ​through the Strait has yet to fully recover”.

The deal would provide for the United States to lift its blockade of Iran’s ​ports, while Tehran would allow oil tanker traffic through the Strait, effectively blocked since US and Israel strikes on February 28.

Read: Oil prices fall 5% to 3-month low

“Oil markets retreated on expectations the Strait of Hormuz would reopen following the peace agreement, but traders held off further selling pending details,” said Hiroyuki Kikukawa, ​chief strategist of Nissan Securities Investment.

WTI is likely to stay volatile in a range of $10 above or below $80 a barrel, ​he added.

Before the closure, about a fifth of global crude oil and liquefied natural gas supplies flowed through the Strait.

Details of the interim ‌peace deal began ⁠to emerge on Tuesday, with President Donald Trump saying it would rule out a nuclear weapon for Tehran and a US official saying it would allow Iran to sell oil upon signing.

The memorandum of understanding, not yet public, extends by another 60 days a tenuous ceasefire agreed in April, so as to allow room for talks toward a permanent truce.

Still, industry officials ​say a full return to ​pre-war production and refining levels ⁠is likely to take weeks, months or even years.

Israel has distanced itself from both the April ceasefire and the latest US-Iran pact, fuelling uncertainty about whether it will hold.

Israeli drone strikes ​targeted three vehicles in southern Lebanon on Tuesday, killing at least four and wounding others, ​Lebanon’s National News ⁠Agency said, prompting a rare public rebuke from Trump.

Read more: Oil falls $4 to three-month low

China’s crude oil throughput fell 9.1% in May on the year to its lowest in almost four years, data showed, also signalling that refiners were starting to draw on stockpiles amid the Iran war.

The American Petroleum ⁠Institute report ​showed US crude stocks fell 8.3 million barrels in the week ended June ​12, the sources said.

It exceeded expectations for a draw of 4.6 million barrels, with official numbers due from the Energy Information Administration at 10:30 am ​ET (1430 GMT) on Wednesday.Latest News, Breaking News & Top News Stories | The Express TribuneReutersRead More

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *